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The understanding of the many fields of control theory can be supported using demonstrators, as
influencing a system to achieve a desired behaviour is the main purpose of control theory. This
thesis covers the setup, implementation and controlling of an inverse multi-pendulum on a cart.
Construction design and brief dimensioning will be described. In addition, a drive to move the
cart and influence the system will be chosen, which will be controlled using industrial automation
technology components. The state feedback controller introduced requires state measurement that
is made available by a radio sensor designed in this thesis. A web user interface is designed and
in addition the data processing structure involving the industrial automation technology and the
custom radio sensor is implemented. The pendulum is then controlled and stabilized by an optimal
controller. Furthermore, an upswing control approach is pointed out using numerical optimal
control.
In 2002, Korn and Wilmott introduced the worst-case scenario optimal portfolio approach.
They extend a Black-Scholes type security market, to include the possibility of a
crash. For the modeling of the possible stock price crash they use a Knightian uncertainty
approach and thus make no probabilistic assumption on the crash size or the crash time distribution.
Based on an indifference argument they determine the optimal portfolio process
for an investor who wants to maximize the expected utility from final wealth. In this thesis,
the worst-case scenario approach is extended in various directions to enable the consideration
of stress scenarios, to include the possibility of asset defaults and to allow for parameter
uncertainty.
Insurance companies and banks regularly have to face stress tests performed by regulatory
instances. In the first part we model their investment decision problem that includes stress
scenarios. This leads to optimal portfolios that are already stress test prone by construction.
The solution to this portfolio problem uses the newly introduced concept of minimum constant
portfolio processes.
In the second part we formulate an extended worst-case portfolio approach, where asset
defaults can occur in addition to asset crashes. In our model, the strictly risk-averse investor
does not know which asset is affected by the worst-case scenario. We solve this problem by
introducing the so-called worst-case crash/default loss.
In the third part we set up a continuous time portfolio optimization problem that includes
the possibility of a crash scenario as well as parameter uncertainty. To do this, we combine
the worst-case scenario approach with a model ambiguity approach that is also based on
Knightian uncertainty. We solve this portfolio problem and consider two concrete examples
with box uncertainty and ellipsoidal drift ambiguity.
We consider the optimization problem of a large insurance company that wants to maximize the expected utility of its surplus through the optimal control of the proportional reinsurance. In addition, the insurer is exposed to the risk of default of its reinsurer at the worst possible time, a setting that is closely related to a scenario of the Swiss Solvency Test.
Insurance companies and banks regularly have to face stress tests performed by regulatory instances. To model their investment decision problems that includes stress scenarios, we propose the worst-case portfolio approach. Thus, the resulting optimal portfolios are already stress test prone by construction. A central issue of the worst-case portfolio approach is that neither the time nor the order of occurrence of the stress scenarios are known. Even more, there are no probabilistic assumptions regarding the occurrence of the stresses. By defining the relative worst-case loss and introducing the concept of minimum constant portfolio processes, we generalize the traditional concepts of the indifference frontier and the indifference-optimality principle. We prove the existence of a minimum constant portfolio process that is optimal for the multi-stress worst-case problem. As a main result we derive a verification theorem that provides conditions on Lagrange multipliers and nonlinear ordinary differential equations that support the construction of optimal worst-case portfolio strategies. The practical applicability of the verification theorem is demonstrated via numerical solution of various worst-case problems with stresses. There, it is in particular shown that an investor who chooses the worst-case optimal portfolio process may have a preference regarding the order of stresses, but there may also be stress scenarios where he/she is indifferent regarding the order and time of occurrence.