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In change-point analysis the point of interest is to decide if the observations follow one model
or if there is at least one time-point, where the model has changed. This results in two sub-
fields, the testing of a change and the estimation of the time of change. This thesis considers
both parts but with the restriction of testing and estimating for at most one change-point.
A well known example is based on independent observations having one change in the mean.
Based on the likelihood ratio test a test statistic with an asymptotic Gumbel distribution was
derived for this model. As it is a well-known fact that the corresponding convergence rate is
very slow, modifications of the test using a weight function were considered. Those tests have
a better performance. We focus on this class of test statistics.
The first part gives a detailed introduction to the techniques for analysing test statistics and
estimators. Therefore we consider the multivariate mean change model and focus on the effects
of the weight function. In the case of change-point estimators we can distinguish between
the assumption of a fixed size of change (fixed alternative) and the assumption that the size
of the change is converging to 0 (local alternative). Especially, the fixed case in rarely analysed
in the literature. We show how to come from the proof for the fixed alternative to the
proof of the local alternative. Finally, we give a simulation study for heavy tailed multivariate
observations.
The main part of this thesis focuses on two points. First, analysing test statistics and, secondly,
analysing the corresponding change-point estimators. In both cases, we first consider a
change in the mean for independent observations but relaxing the moment condition. Based on
a robust estimator for the mean, we derive a new type of change-point test having a randomized
weight function. Secondly, we analyse non-linear autoregressive models with unknown
regression function. Based on neural networks, test statistics and estimators are derived for
correctly specified as well as for misspecified situations. This part extends the literature as
we analyse test statistics and estimators not only based on the sample residuals. In both
sections, the section on tests and the one on the change-point estimator, we end with giving
regularity conditions on the model as well as the parameter estimator.
Finally, a simulation study for the case of the neural network based test and estimator is
given. We discuss the behaviour under correct and mis-specification and apply the neural
network based test and estimator on two data sets.