Enhancing stock market anomalies with machine learning

  • We examine the predictability of 299 capital market anomalies enhanced by 30 machine learning approaches and over 250 models in a dataset with more than 500 million firm-month anomaly observations. We find significant monthly (out-of-sample) returns of around 1.8–2.0%, and over 80% of the models yield returns equal to or larger than our linearly constructed baseline factor. For the best performing models, the risk-adjusted returns are significant across alternative asset pricing models, considering transaction costs with round-trip costs of up to 2% and including only anomalies after publication. Our results indicate that non-linear models can reveal market inefficiencies (mispricing) that are hard to conciliate with risk-based explanations.

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Metadaten
Author:Vitor AzevedoORCiD, Christopher R. Hoegner
URN:urn:nbn:de:hbz:386-kluedo-78712
DOI:https://doi.org/10.1007/s11156-022-01099-z
ISSN:1573-7179
Parent Title (English):Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting
Publisher:Springer Nature - Springer
Document Type:Article
Language of publication:English
Date of Publication (online):2024/03/25
Year of first Publication:2022
Publishing Institution:Rheinland-Pfälzische Technische Universität Kaiserslautern-Landau
Date of the Publication (Server):2024/03/25
Issue:60
Page Number:36
First Page:195
Last Page:230
Source:https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11156-022-01099-z
Faculties / Organisational entities:Kaiserslautern - Fachbereich Wirtschaftswissenschaften
DDC-Cassification:3 Sozialwissenschaften / 330 Wirtschaft
Collections:Open-Access-Publikationsfonds
Licence (German):Zweitveröffentlichung