## Fachbereich Mathematik

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- Advantage of Filtering for Portfolio Optimization in Financial Markets with Partial Information (2016)
- In a financial market we consider three types of investors trading with a finite time horizon with access to a bank account as well as multliple stocks: the fully informed investor, the partially informed investor whose only source of information are the stock prices and an investor who does not use this infor- mation. The drift is modeled either as following linear Gaussian dynamics or as being a continuous time Markov chain with finite state space. The optimization problem is to maximize expected utility of terminal wealth. The case of partial information is based on the use of filtering techniques. Conditions to ensure boundedness of the expected value of the filters are developed, in the Markov case also for positivity. For the Markov modulated drift, boundedness of the expected value of the filter relates strongly to port- folio optimization: effects are studied and quantified. The derivation of an equivalent, less dimensional market is presented next. It is a type of Mutual Fund Theorem that is shown here. Gains and losses eminating from the use of filtering are then discussed in detail for different market parameters: For infrequent trading we find that both filters need to comply with the boundedness conditions to be an advan- tage for the investor. Losses are minimal in case the filters are advantageous. At an increasing number of stocks, again boundedness conditions need to be met. Losses in this case depend strongly on the added stocks. The relation of boundedness and portfolio optimization in the Markov model leads here to increasing losses for the investor if the boundedness condition is to hold for all numbers of stocks. In the Markov case, the losses for different numbers of states are negligible in case more states are assumed then were originally present. Assuming less states leads to high losses. Again for the Markov model, a simplification of the complex optimal trading strategy for power utility in the partial information setting is shown to cause only minor losses. If the market parameters are such that shortselling and borrowing constraints are in effect, these constraints may lead to big losses depending on how much effect the constraints have. They can though also be an advantage for the investor in case the expected value of the filters does not meet the conditions for boundedness. All results are implemented and illustrated with the corresponding numerical findings.

- Isogeometric finite element methods for shape optimization (2015)
- In this thesis we develop a shape optimization framework for isogeometric analysis in the optimize first–discretize then setting. For the discretization we use isogeometric analysis (iga) to solve the state equation, and search optimal designs in a space of admissible b-spline or nurbs combinations. Thus a quite general class of functions for representing optimal shapes is available. For the gradient-descent method, the shape derivatives indicate both stopping criteria and search directions and are determined isogeometrically. The numerical treatment requires solvers for partial differential equations and optimization methods, which introduces numerical errors. The tight connection between iga and geometry representation offers new ways of refining the geometry and analysis discretization by the same means. Therefore, our main concern is to develop the optimize first framework for isogeometric shape optimization as ground work for both implementation and an error analysis. Numerical examples show that this ansatz is practical and case studies indicate that it allows local refinement.

- The Inductive Blockwise Alperin Weight Condition for the Finite Groups \( SL_3(q) \) \( (3 \nmid (q-1)) \), \( G_2(q) \) and \( ^3D_4(q) \) (2015)
- The central topic of this thesis is Alperin's weight conjecture, a problem concerning the representation theory of finite groups. This conjecture, which was first proposed by J. L. Alperin in 1986, asserts that for any finite group the number of its irreducible Brauer characters coincides with the number of conjugacy classes of its weights. The blockwise version of Alperin's conjecture partitions this problem into a question concerning the number of irreducible Brauer characters and weights belonging to the blocks of finite groups. A proof for this conjecture has not (yet) been found. However, the problem has been reduced to a question on non-abelian finite (quasi-) simple groups in the sense that there is a set of conditions, the so-called inductive blockwise Alperin weight condition, whose verification for all non-abelian finite simple groups implies the blockwise Alperin weight conjecture. Now the objective is to prove this condition for all non-abelian finite simple groups, all of which are known via the classification of finite simple groups. In this thesis we establish the inductive blockwise Alperin weight condition for three infinite series of finite groups of Lie type: the special linear groups \(SL_3(q)\) in the case \(q>2\) and \(q \not\equiv 1 \bmod 3\), the Chevalley groups \(G_2(q)\) for \(q \geqslant 5\), and Steinberg's triality groups \(^3D_4(q)\).

- Representative Systems and Decision Support for Multicriteria Optimization Problems (2015)
- In this thesis, we investigate several upcoming issues occurring in the context of conceiving and building a decision support system. We elaborate new algorithms for computing representative systems with special quality guarantees, provide concepts for supporting the decision makers after a representative system was computed, and consider a methodology of combining two optimization problems. We review the original Box-Algorithm for two objectives by Hamacher et al. (2007) and discuss several extensions regarding coverage, uniformity, the enumeration of the whole nondominated set, and necessary modifications if the underlying scalarization problem cannot be solved to optimality. In a next step, the original Box-Algorithm is extended to the case of three objective functions to compute a representative system with desired coverage error. Besides the investigation of several theoretical properties, we prove the correctness of the algorithm, derive a bound on the number of iterations needed by the algorithm to meet the desired coverage error, and propose some ideas for possible extensions. Furthermore, we investigate the problem of selecting a subset with desired cardinality from the computed representative system, the Hypervolume Subset Selection Problem (HSSP). We provide two new formulations for the bicriteria HSSP, a linear programming formulation and a \(k\)-link shortest path formulation. For the latter formulation, we propose an algorithm for which we obtain the currently best known complexity bound for solving the bicriteria HSSP. For the tricriteria HSSP, we propose an integer programming formulation with a corresponding branch-and-bound scheme. Moreover, we address the issue of how to present the whole set of computed representative points to the decision makers. Based on common illustration methods, we elaborate an algorithm guiding the decision makers in choosing their preferred solution. Finally, we step back and look from a meta-level on the issue of how to combine two given optimization problems and how the resulting combinations can be related to each other. We come up with several different combined formulations and give some ideas for the practical approach.

- Application of the Finite Pointset Method to moving boundary problems for the BGK model of rarefied gas dynamics (2015)
- The overall goal of the work is to simulate rarefied flows inside geometries with moving boundaries. The behavior of a rarefied flow is characterized through the Knudsen number \(Kn\), which can be very small (\(Kn < 0.01\) continuum flow) or larger (\(Kn > 1\) molecular flow). The transition region (\(0.01 < Kn < 1\)) is referred to as the transition flow regime. Continuum flows are mainly simulated by using commercial CFD methods, which are used to solve the Euler equations. In the case of molecular flows one uses statistical methods, such as the Direct Simulation Monte Carlo (DSMC) method. In the transition region Euler equations are not adequate to model gas flows. Because of the rapid increase of particle collisions the DSMC method tends to fail, as well Therefore, we develop a deterministic method, which is suitable to simulate problems of rarefied gases for any Knudsen number and is appropriate to simulate flows inside geometries with moving boundaries. Thus, the method we use is the Finite Pointset Method (FPM), which is a mesh-free numerical method developed at the ITWM Kaiserslautern and is mainly used to solve fluid dynamical problems. More precisely, we develop a method in the FPM framework to solve the BGK model equation, which is a simplification of the Boltzmann equation. This equation is mainly used to describe rarefied flows. The FPM based method is implemented for one and two dimensional physical and velocity space and different ranges of the Knudsen number. Numerical examples are shown for problems with moving boundaries. It is seen, that our method is superior to regular grid methods with respect to the implementation of boundary conditions. Furthermore, our results are comparable to reference solutions gained through CFD- and DSMC methods, respectevly.

- American-style Option Pricing and Improvement of Regression-based Monte Carlo Methods by Machine Learning Techniques (2015)
- In this dissertation, we discuss how to price American-style options. Our aim is to study and improve the regression-based Monte Carlo methods. In order to have good benchmarks to compare with them, we also study the tree methods. In the second chapter, we investigate the tree methods specifically. We do research firstly within the Black-Scholes model and then within the Heston model. In the Black-Scholes model, based on Müller's work, we illustrate how to price one dimensional and multidimensional American options, American Asian options, American lookback options, American barrier options and so on. In the Heston model, based on Sayer's research, we implement his algorithm to price one dimensional American options. In this way, we have good benchmarks of various American-style options and put them all in the appendix. In the third chapter, we focus on the regression-based Monte Carlo methods theoretically and numerically. Firstly, we introduce two variations, the so called "Tsitsiklis-Roy method" and the "Longstaff-Schwartz method". Secondly, we illustrate the approximation of American option by its Bermudan counterpart. Thirdly we explain the source of low bias and high bias. Fourthly we compare these two methods using in-the-money paths and all paths. Fifthly, we examine the effect using different number and form of basis functions. Finally, we study the Andersen-Broadie method and present the lower and upper bounds. In the fourth chapter, we study two machine learning techniques to improve the regression part of the Monte Carlo methods: Gaussian kernel method and kernel-based support vector machine. In order to choose a proper smooth parameter, we compare fixed bandwidth, global optimum and suboptimum from a finite set. We also point out that scaling the training data to [0,1] can avoid numerical difficulty. When out-of-sample paths of stock prices are simulated, the kernel method is robust and even performs better in several cases than the Tsitsiklis-Roy method and the Longstaff-Schwartz method. The support vector machine can keep on improving the kernel method and needs less representations of old stock prices during prediction of option continuation value for a new stock price. In the fifth chapter, we switch to the hardware (FGPA) implementation of the Longstaff-Schwartz method and propose novel reversion formulas for the stock price and volatility within the Black-Scholes and Heston models. The test for this formula within the Black-Scholes model shows that the storage of data is reduced and also the corresponding energy consumption.

- Stochastic Modeling and Approximation of Turbulent Spinning Processes (2015)
- In some processes for spinning synthetic fibers the filaments are exposed to highly turbulent air flows to achieve a high degree of stretching (elongation). The quality of the resulting filaments, namely thickness and uniformity, is thus determined essentially by the aerodynamic force coming from the turbulent flow. Up to now, there is a gap between the elongation measured in experiments and the elongation obtained by numerical simulations available in the literature. The main focus of this thesis is the development of an efficient and sufficiently accurate simulation algorithm for the velocity of a turbulent air flow and the application in turbulent spinning processes. In stochastic turbulence models the velocity is described by an \(\mathbb{R}^3\)-valued random field. Based on an appropriate description of the random field by Marheineke, we have developed an algorithm that fulfills our requirements of efficiency and accuracy. Applying a resulting stochastic aerodynamic drag force on the fibers then allows the simulation of the fiber dynamics modeled by a random partial differential algebraic equation system as well as a quantization of the elongation in a simplified random ordinary differential equation model for turbulent spinning. The numerical results are very promising: whereas the numerical results available in the literature can only predict elongations up to order \(10^4\) we get an order of \(10^5\), which is closer to the elongations of order \(10^6\) measured in experiments.

- Construction of a Mittag-Leffler Analysis and its Applications (2015)
- Motivated by the results of infinite dimensional Gaussian analysis and especially white noise analysis, we construct a Mittag-Leffler analysis. This is an infinite dimensional analysis with respect to non-Gaussian measures of Mittag-Leffler type which we call Mittag-Leffler measures. Our results indicate that the Wick ordered polynomials, which play a key role in Gaussian analysis, cannot be generalized to this non-Gaussian case. We provide evidence that a system of biorthogonal polynomials, called generalized Appell system, is applicable to the Mittag-Leffler measures, instead of using Wick ordered polynomials. With the help of an Appell system, we introduce a test function and a distribution space. Furthermore we give characterizations of the distribution space and we characterize the weak integrable functions and the convergent sequences within the distribution space. We construct Donsker's delta in a non-Gaussian setting as an application. In the second part, we develop a grey noise analysis. This is a special application of the Mittag-Leffler analysis. In this framework, we introduce generalized grey Brownian motion and prove differentiability in a distributional sense and the existence of generalized grey Brownian motion local times. Grey noise analysis is then applied to the time-fractional heat equation and the time-fractional Schrödinger equation. We prove a generalization of the fractional Feynman-Kac formula for distributional initial values. In this way, we find a Green's function for the time-fractional heat equation which coincides with the solutions given in the literature.

- Aspects and Applications of the Wilkie Investment Model (2015)
- The Wilkie model is a stochastic asset model, developed by A.D. Wilkie in 1984 with a purpose to explore the behaviour of investment factors of insurers within the United Kingdom. Even so, there is still no analysis that studies the Wilkie model in a portfolio optimization framework thus far. Originally, the Wilkie model is considering a discrete-time horizon and we apply the concept of Wilkie model to develop a suitable ARIMA model for Malaysian data by using Box-Jenkins methodology. We obtained the estimated parameters for each sub model within the Wilkie model that suits the case of Malaysia, and permits us to analyse the result based on statistics and economics view. We then tend to review the continuous time case which was initially introduced by Terence Chan in 1998. The continuous-time Wilkie model inspired is then being employed to develop the wealth equation of a portfolio that consists of a bond and a stock. We are interested in building portfolios based on three well-known trading strategies, a self-financing strategy, a constant growth optimal strategy as well as a buy-and-hold strategy. In dealing with the portfolio optimization problems, we use the stochastic control technique consisting of the maximization problem itself, the Hamilton-Jacobi-equation, the solution to the Hamilton-Jacobi-equation and finally the verification theorem. In finding the optimal portfolio, we obtained the specific solution of the Hamilton-Jacobi-equation and proved the solution via the verification theorem. For a simple buy-and-hold strategy, we use the mean-variance analysis to solve the portfolio optimization problem.