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Buses not arriving on time and then arriving all at once - this phenomenon is known from
busy bus routes and is called bus bunching.
This thesis combines the well studied but so far separate areas of bus-bunching prediction
and dynamic holding strategies, which allow to modulate buses’ dwell times at stops to
eliminate bus bunching. We look at real data of the Dublin Bus route 46A and present
a headway-based predictive-control framework considering all components like data
acquisition, prediction and control strategies. We formulate time headways as time series
and compare several prediction methods for those. Furthermore we present an analytical
model of an artificial bus route and discuss stability properties and dynamic holding
strategies using both data available at the time and predicted headway data. In a numerical
simulation we illustrate the advantages of the presented predictive-control framework
compared to the classical approaches which only use directly available data.
Laser-induced interstitial thermotherapy (LITT) is a minimally invasive procedure to destroy liver
tumors through thermal ablation. Mathematical models are the basis for computer simulations
of LITT, which support the practitioner in planning and monitoring the therapy.
In this thesis, we propose three potential extensions of an established mathematical model of
LITT, which is based on two nonlinearly coupled partial differential equations (PDEs) modeling
the distribution of the temperature and the laser radiation in the liver.
First, we introduce the Cattaneo–LITT model for delayed heat transfer in this context, prove its
well-posedness and study the effect of an inherent delay parameter numerically.
Second, we model the influence of large blood vessels in the heat-transfer model by means
of a spatially varying blood-perfusion rate. This parameter is unknown at the beginning of
each therapy because it depends on the individual patient and the placement of the LITT
applicator relative to the liver. We propose a PDE-constrained optimal-control problem for the
identification of the blood-perfusion rate, prove the existence of an optimal control and prove
necessary first-order optimality conditions. Furthermore, we introduce a numerical example
based on which we demonstrate the algorithmic solution of this problem.
Third, we propose a reformulation of the well-known PN model hierarchy with Marshak
boundary conditions as a coupled system of second-order PDEs to approximate the radiative-transfer
equation. The new model hierarchy is derived in a general context and is applicable
to a wide range of applications other than LITT. It can be generated in an automated way by
means of algebraic transformations and allows the solution with standard finite-element tools.
We validate our formulation in a general context by means of various numerical experiments.
Finally, we investigate the coupling of this new model hierarchy with the LITT model numerically.
Kinetic models of human motion rely on boundary conditions which are defined by the interaction of the body with its environment. In the simplest case, this interaction is limited to the foot contact with the ground and is given by the so called ground reaction force (GRF). A major challenge in the reconstruction of GRF from kinematic data is the double support phase, referring to the state with multiple ground contacts. In this case, the GRF prediction is not well defined. In this work we present an approach to reconstruct and distribute vertical GRF (vGRF) to each foot separately, using only kinematic data. We propose the biomechanically inspired force shadow method (FSM) to obtain a unique solution for any contact phase, including double support, of an arbitrary motion. We create a kinematic based function, model an anatomical foot shape and mimic the effect of hip muscle activations. We compare our estimations with the measurements of a Zebris pressure plate and obtain correlations of 0.39≤r≤0.94 for double support motions and 0.83≤r≤0.87 for a walking motion. The presented data is based on inertial human motion capture, showing the applicability for scenarios outside the laboratory. The proposed approach has low computational complexity and allows for online vGRF estimation.